quinta-feira, 17 de abril de 2014

Sigh...

Not happy with the first trade of the day.I usually don't try for freebets.And this game reminded me why.After watching the first set I decided to create a huge freebet on Fognini.All was going well.I layed Fognini at 1.28 with my earnings from the first set.He failed to convert a ridiculously amount of break points.You know what they say:kill or be killed.What happened next...Jesus...Fognini completely lost his mind and Tsonga won the 2nd set ant then decisive set with a whopping 6-0 result...

This trade was technically very good,but at times I still struggle with lack of player knowledge.When I saw Fognini starting to get upset I should have let the trade run further instead of getting that freebet.Because it was Fognini.It wasnt Djoko or Nadal.It was Fognini.I closed my trade at 1.70...

Well but this just shows me how far I've came.I'm proud that I no longer have to rant about loosing patience,discipline,chasing,overstaking...I no longer rant about loosing half my bank in a single game.The only thing I complain about now is poor decisions relating to lack of player knowledge.And that my friends,comes with time and experience.


I am almost a tennis trader.

quarta-feira, 16 de abril de 2014

Thoughts for tomorrow games

I'm checking  the games for tomorrows venue at Monte Carlo.I have some thoughts at how the games might play out.This aren't tips and I strongly discourage you to follow any of them as you might take a trip to mount Busto,hehe.

Robredo-Raonic should give us a nice game to trade if Raonic breaks first.He is facing a clay specialist and I think he will struggle.The price seems fair to me here,though.

Tsonga-Fognini is kind of a riddle to me.If Fognini shows up with the attitude from his first two matches,hes gonna get in trouble.If he starts well and focused,playing his A game,cant see much of a chance for Tsonga here...

Wawa-Almagro.Almagro as been playing good tennis and could put Wawa into some trouble.I think his price is a little low a 1.50's.Maybe 1.60ish fitted the match better.

Ferrer-Dimitrov.I think Ferrer is priced way too low here.From where I'm standing,1.50ish or even 1.60ish would be a fair price.

Djoko-Carreno Busta-Watching how Carreno Busta played against Monfils today,I cant help but feel that the youngster is going to make Djoko work hard.With Djoko priced at 1.04 this could be the price of the day...

Good greens everyone!










Feeling worn out

Uff.Trading this many matches a day is tiring.I'm not used to it as I traded only 2 or 3 matches a day till now.But I'll be paying attention to my focus levels dropping and at the smallest signs I'll take a break.

Today was yet another great day.Some great trading with some great results.I'm on the track now.On to the last game of the day,Monfils-Carreno Busta.This kid is actually pretty good in the dirt courts.And he has had a very good last couple weeks which makes me think he will make it hard for the frenchman.


Lets go!

terça-feira, 15 de abril de 2014

Mortal Kombat!

Tan tan tan tan Taran tan tan tan tan tan Taran tan tan tan tan tan Taran tan tan tan tan tan Taran tan...

TARAN TARAN TARAN TARAN TANTA

TARAN TARAN TARAN TARAN TANTA

TARAN TARAN TARAN TARAN TANTA

TARAN TARAN TARAN TARAN TANTA

Mortal Kombat!

Yup.I feel like I have fought a Mortal Kombat against myself.But I WON!Yey!

Today was a day when I almost didn't place a bet (at least to my standards,hehe),ended up slightly in the red but came out victorious since I didn't make any big mistake.Emotional control is there.Patience is there (or at least I have found a way to deal with impatience),market knowledge,solid strategy and approach,perhaps its time to up my stakes?

Don't want to take a step bigger than what I should,but I'm starting to think about it...

P.S-Admit it,you sang the Mortal Kombat theme in your head.Got you!

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!

Learned two new things

I've learned two new things today.The first one is a situation when a player breaks his opponent.There are some players who go for the second break and there are others who put less emphasis on breaking his opponent,rather putting more effort in securing his own service games.Yet another trace to add to my players profiles.

The second one is "leveling". When a player is in good form yet struggles (by struggles I mean tight games,3 setters) against a weaker opponent only to completely destroy an opponent of similar skill in the next round. Djokovic is very good at doing this. Nadal is not. Nadal always puts everything in the court.Its easier to spot when he is having a bad day.No that easy with the Djoker though,as he is very good at playing his cards,keeping his aces hidden and using them only when its really needed.

Flawless trading,but no perfect day

Spotted great opportunities in the Seppi match and my trading was yet again,flawless.But the in the 2 big opportunities that would have gave me a nice profit I didnt get matched for 1 tick.Twice.In a row.Sigh...

As the prophecy of Sexual Karma never fails,the opportunities I did get matched on were losers.No problem,I killed those bastards almost before they were born.Ended up 25ish% on the red.

Gabashvilli up two breaks against Simon in the 3rd set isn't something you see everyday.The french is very good at making comebacks and Gaba is famous for the mental diarrhea when he is ahead.Layed him for my profit and almost got a jackpot,but Simon wasn't on his days.He still took the set to a final 6-4 which is very impressive given he was 4-1 down.

Kohli was broken early,so,no value in this game till now.Lets see how Dimitrov fares...

Fuuuuuuuudge!

I left home this morning excited and in the mood to make some moneyzz.Then I realize I forgot my laptop charger.Its sexual karma:all the different ways life can fuck you.


Sigh...